Tonawanda News

Columns

February 4, 2010

ADAMCZYK: Predictions for the year 2020

Each Friday’s Tonawanda News features commentary from a variety of sources, including me and including contributors to the “Sound Off” column, a phoned-in, what’s-your-complaint sort of offering by readers. While no one will agree with all of it, and much of “Sound Off” seems to be random ranting, a search for a forum when government or politicians don’t seem to be listening, I take note of the “this country is doomed” attitudes some callers provide. I’m beginning to think they may be right.

Part of it is because I’m on the cusp of becoming a senior citizen, a golden-ager, a crusty old fart, name the category, and people of that class have some touchstones when it comes to better days from the past, mistakes made and learned from, observations on those who’ve come after them and are screwing things up, etc. The way the Great Depression affected those who survived it, I grew up assuming the United States was the best at everything, or would be if it only directed its energy and muscle appropriately. This was the place with all the money, all the power, all the ideas, all the innovation, none of the pessimism and no barriers to progress. By extension, since I’m a citizen, that pertained to me as well; whatever potential I had would be welcomed and rewarded.

So the new federal budget is out and ready for approval, and beyond numbers in the trillions (my own checking account perplexes me, so be assured I’m no expert on these matters), a few things stand out:

President Obama’s projections are admittedly optimistic (the state of the union is strong, he said last week), but they include deficits until 2020 that no one considers sustainable. A Tuesday Associated Press article on the topic mentioned the federal government will “have to borrow one-third of what it spends next year as it runs a deficit that would still total some $1.3 trillion.”

The United States is borrowing it largely from China, which has available cash because much of what your home, office, shop floor, closet and workbench contains was manufactured there.

Obama’s chief economic advisor, Lawrence Summers, asked, before he joined the administration, “How long can the world’s biggest borrower remain the world’s biggest power?”

This little citizen is beginning to wonder as well.

One plan is to reduce discretionary spending, after 2011, on everything besides Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security and defense. That’s two-thirds of the economy, left untouched.

Then I read about trends in renewable energy, an indicator of who’s getting a handle on a 21st century zeitgeist. Which country manufactures the most wind turbines? Right, China, and they export what they don’t themselves use. According to the New York Times, China had 1.12 million people in the renewable energy business in 2008, and expects to add 100,000 more per year. Like Japan and the automobile business, they’ll be on their second and third and fourth generation of wind and solar power equipment by the time the United States commits itself to playing catch-up.

Suburban school districts are adding Chinese language instruction to their curricula, and I used to joke about better communication with the kids’ future Chinese overlords. I’m not laughing anymore.

Clearly, fewer and cheaper wars would help the Americans’ cause; this country’s blood and treasure could be better dedicated elsewhere. I first heard the phrase “coherent energy policy” during the Nixon administration and am still awaiting one (that’s Nixon, Ford, Carter, Reagan, Bush I, Clinton, Bush II and Obama, 41 years of stalling while the oil producers got rich and the domestic car industry crashed and burned). Less obstruction from certain troglodytes in Congress might help (although American history has long had its share of elected representatives with no view past their own wallets), and on the matter of entitlements, well, I’m no more eager to surrender mine than you are yours, but there is likely wasteful spending that can be rooted out.

I spent the first part of my life with the feeling my country was on the rise, like those rockets I saw on black-and-white televisions, shot into space with optimistic astronauts aboard. Today we’re deeply in debt, lacking clear direction, and competing with the world for resources and markets. Decisions impacting me, once made in Washington, are made by bankers in Shanghai and oil sheiks in Riyadh. But maybe it’s just me; people age 12 should be more optimistic than those my age.

There is plenty about national debt I do not understand, but I can comprehend the feeling that I have a ringside seat at the decline of the United States as a political power in the world. Of course, any 10-year projection I ever devised was totally off the mark; perhaps the president’s is, as well.

Ed Adamczyk is a Kenmore resident whose column appears Fridays in the Tonawanda News. Contact him at EdinKenmore@gmail.com.

Text Only
Columns
  • adamczyk, ed ADAMCZYK: The endless autumn

    By the time this prattle gets turned into ink on paper, the reader should be expected to be sitting in cold temperatures and under several inches of lake effect-produced snow.

    February 10, 2012 1 Photo

  • John Hopkins HOPKINS: Big mistakes by Romney, Obama

    Rick Santorum’s strong showing Tuesday in Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado should come as no surprise.

    February 9, 2012 1 Photo

  • Duvall, Eric_crop DUVALL: Church shouldn’t be forced to offer birth control

    In announcing that the federal government will require religious institutions to provide free access to birth control, President Obama  touched off a heated debate about religious freedom — one he is likely to lose.

    February 8, 2012 1 Photo

  • Bob Confer CONFER: Time to end the NFL’s blackout rule

    Long ago, in a much simpler time, ticket sales accounted for the majority of revenues for professional football teams.

    February 7, 2012 1 Photo

  • scott leffler LEFFLER: Don’t wait to be productive

    I’ve always been a bit of a night person. It started in college when I would stay up all hours of the night — doing homework. Or something.

    February 7, 2012 1 Photo

  • Duvall, Eric_crop DUVALL: Immigration, not economy, could tip 2012 election

    In a handful of swing states that will decide the election, immigration will play a large — perhaps even determining — role in whether Barack Obama gets another four years.

    February 4, 2012 1 Photo

  • Barbara Tucker TUCKER: Another side of the SPCA

    With all the negative news about the SPCA of Niagara County, it seems a good time to weigh-in about the wonderful SPCA Serving Erie County.

    February 3, 2012 1 Photo

  • adamczyk, ed ADAMCZYK: The return of The Slash

    A recent column in this space about the myriad effects of personal technology (smartphones si, singing toothbrushes no) mentioned the curse of lifelong learning, that carousel of constant vocational training and retraining forced by a life on a globe spinning faster and flattening faster than society can cope, and that’s where the commentators keyed this in this week’s virtual mailbag.

    February 3, 2012 1 Photo

  • Jill Keppeler Keppeler: Give me shelter

    I hate the cold.
       Most winter days in the Tonawanda News newsroom, I’m sitting here wearing my coat. (I’m doing it right now, as a matter of fact.)

    February 2, 2012 1 Photo

  • Duvall, Eric_crop DUVALL: To the moon, Newt!

    Normally I would jump at the chance to make fun of Newt Gingrich for saying something zany like how he plans to build American colonies on the moon.

    February 1, 2012 1 Photo

Featured Ads
AP Video
Obama Scraps Birth Control Mandate US Airmen's Killer Sentenced to Life in Germany Raw Video: Deadly Blasts in Syria Romney Slams President Obama at CPAC Gingrich: Pres. Obama 'waging War on Religion' Navy Names Ship for Gabrielle Giffords 5 Killed in Wrong-way Crash on I-10 in La. Denver's Largest-Ever Drug Bust Nets Dozens Marines: No Punishment for Nazi-like Flag Vets Look to Translate Military Skills Into Jobs Raw Video: School Bus Burst Into Flames LA School Reopens Amid Sex Abuse Scandal $25B Settlement Reached Over Foreclosure Abuses Pentagon: Allow Women Closer to Front Lines LA School in Sex Abuse Scandal Reopens Raw Video: Italy's Mount Etna Bursts Into Life Greeks March; Angry Despite Debt Deal Air Force Airlines: Leaders Get Polished Service Ga Girl Fights Off Kidnapper at Walmart Skip the Coffee Cup and Inhale Your Caffeine Fix
Community Calendar
Loading…
Events by eviesays.com
Seasonal Content
Hyperlocal Search
Premier Guide
Find a business

Walking Fingers
Maps, Menus, Store hours, Coupons, and more...
Premier Guide
Popular Searches
Powered by Local.com
Front page
Twitter Updates
Follow me on Twitter